Estimate Your Risk For Developing Heart Disease in the Next 10 Years

 
 

The information presented below is based on data gathered over a 50 year period from the Framingham Heart Study; a research project to study the causes of heart disease

Step 1: Find your points based on your Age, Blood Pressure, LDL and HDL Cholesterol, and whether you Smoke or have Diabetes

AGE

Age M F
30-34 -1 -9
35-39 0 -4
40-44 1 0
45-49 2 3
50-54 3 6
55-59 4 7
60-64 5 8
65-69 6 8
70-74 7 9



DO YOU HAVE DIABETES?

M F
YES 2 4
NO 0 0

CHOLESTEROL

LDL Cholesterol

M F
<100 -3 -2
100-129 0 0
130-159 0 0
160-189 1 2
>189 2 2




HDL Cholesterol

M F
<35 2 5
35-44 1 2
45-49 0 1
50-59 0 0
>59 -1 -3

DO YOU SMOKE?

M F
YES 2 2
NO 0 0




Blood Pressure

M F
<120/<80 0 -3
120-129/80-84 0 0
130-139/85-89 1 0
140-159/90-99 2 2
>159/>99 3 3

Step 2 : Add up your points for Age, LDL-Cholesterol, HDL-Cholesterol, Blood Pressure, Smoking & Diabetes

Age
LDL-Cholesterol

HDL-Cholesterol

Blood Pressure
Diabetes
Smoking
TOTAL POINTS

Step 3 : Find Your Risk Level Based on Your Point Total

Total Points <-2 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 >17
%Risk Male 1 2 2 3 4 4 5 7 8 10 13 17 21 26 32 38 46 54 54 54 54
%Risk Female 1 1 2 2 2 3 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 11 12 14 16 20 22 25 30

Your Framingham Risk for developing Heart Disease including a Heart Attack over the next 10 years is denoted by the %RISK Male or Female corresponding to your Total Points Score

Step 4 : Compare Your Risk to Others . For comparison purposes, Low Risk is the risk of developing heart disease within the next 10 years for a Man or Woman of the same age with normal blood pressure and cholesterol who does not smoke or have diabetes

COMPARATIVE RISK
MALES AGE AVERAGE RISK LOW RISK
30-34 3% 2%
35-39 5% 3%
40-44 7% 4%
45-49 11% 4%
50-54 14% 6%
55-59 16% 7%
60-64 21% 9%
65-69 25% 11%
70-74 30% 14%
FEMALES AGE AVERAGE RISK LOW RISK
30-34 <1% <1%
35-39 1% <1%
40-44 2% 2%
45-49 5% 3%
50-54 8% 5%
55-59 12% 7%
60-64 12% 8%
65-69 13% 8%
70-74 14% 8%

Note that there is no risk estimate for patients < 30 or older than 74 because this analysis is based on real data collected from Framingham
Risk factors for developing heart disease can be changed and modified. See your doctor for further details. To decrease your risk of heart disease, remember to:

Lose Weight
Exercise Regularly
Stop Smoking
Control Diabetes and Blood Pressure
Eat Less Fat and Cholesterol

Adapted from The Framingham Heart Study
Wilson et al, Circulation 1998;97:1837
www.nhlbi.nih.gov/about/Framingham/index.html

Here is Another Risk Calculator Based on Framingham Data. This one differs because it uses your TOTAL CHOLESTEROL, asks only for your SYSTOLIC BLOOD PRESSURE, but also asks if you have an ENLARGED HEART. This calculator is based on the KUMC Health Assessment.

RISK CALCULATOR

 

Sex:
M
F
Age in Years?
 
TOTAL Cholesterol?
 
HDL Cholesterol?
 
SYSTOLIC BLOOD PRESSURE (the top number)?
 
SMOKE CIGARETTES?
Yes
No
DIABETES?
Yes
No
Do you have evidence of an ENLARGED HEART (LVH)?
Yes
No

 


RESULTS
Risk of Developing Heart Disease  
Over the next 5 Years
Over the next 10 Years

 

The Average Risk for Developing Heart Disease for a Person of Your Age and Sex:
 
 

 
 
 
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